Pre-tourney Rankings
America East
2018-19


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
94 Vermont 100.0%   14   26 - 6 14 - 2 26 - 6 14 - 2 +5.3      +2.1 120 +3.2 88 64.2 301 +7.1 74 +5.1 1
166 Stony Brook 0.0%   23 - 8 12 - 4 23 - 8 12 - 4 -0.5      -3.6 275 +3.1 94 71.8 97 +2.7 130 +1.1 2
193 Hartford 0.0%   17 - 15 10 - 6 17 - 15 10 - 6 -2.0      +3.2 91 -5.1 303 66.9 227 -2.6 202 -2.7 4
230 Maryland Baltimore Co. 0.0%   18 - 13 11 - 5 18 - 13 11 - 5 -4.0      -5.7 311 +1.7 123 63.5 315 -2.2 196 -0.4 3
257 Umass Lowell 0.0%   13 - 17 7 - 9 13 - 17 7 - 9 -5.6      0.0 177 -5.5 314 74.9 52 -6.0 262 -7.5 6
271 Albany 0.0%   11 - 20 7 - 9 11 - 20 7 - 9 -6.3      -3.9 282 -2.4 244 65.6 270 -8.5 302 -7.4 5
321 Binghamton 0.0%   8 - 23 5 - 11 8 - 23 5 - 11 -10.7      -4.8 298 -5.9 323 65.3 277 -10.6 320 -10.4 7
333 Maine 0.0%   4 - 27 3 - 13 4 - 27 3 - 13 -12.3      -7.5 333 -4.8 298 61.9 331 -15.2 338 -14.6 9
341 New Hampshire 0.0%   3 - 24 3 - 13 3 - 24 3 - 13 -14.7      -13.0 352 -1.7 220 64.8 286 -17.0 343 -14.0 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Vermont 1.0 100.0
Stony Brook 2.0 100.0
Hartford 4.0 100.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 3.0 100.0
Umass Lowell 5.0 100.0
Albany 5.0 100.0
Binghamton 7.0 100.0
Maine 8.0 100.0
New Hampshire 8.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Vermont 14 - 2 100.0
Stony Brook 12 - 4 100.0
Hartford 10 - 6 100.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 11 - 5 100.0
Umass Lowell 7 - 9 100.0
Albany 7 - 9 100.0
Binghamton 5 - 11 100.0
Maine 3 - 13 100.0
New Hampshire 3 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Vermont 100.0% 100.0
Stony Brook
Hartford
Maryland Baltimore Co.
Umass Lowell
Albany
Binghamton
Maine
New Hampshire


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Vermont 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   4.1 32.5 62.6 0.8
Stony Brook 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Hartford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Umass Lowell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Albany 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Binghamton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Maine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
New Hampshire 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Vermont 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 12.9% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stony Brook 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hartford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Umass Lowell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 12.9% 0.1 87.1 12.9
Sweet Sixteen 2.9% 0.0 97.1 2.9
Elite Eight 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0